Al Jazeera Net- The follow -up of the Turkish relations path -Israeli reveals a dynamic tide and continuous islands. At the Davos summit in 2009, relations were completely cut after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan protested the famous phrase “one minute”.
With the “Abraham Conventions” project launched by US President Donald Trump in 2020 as an initiative to reconcile Israel with the countries of the region, Turkish relations -Israeli have entered the direction towards improvement.
However, after the Israeli war against Gaza, which Türkiye described as a genocide, relations were cut and the ambassadors were withdrawn. Türkiye has become one of the countries that expressed the most reactions against Israel at all political and international levels.
1- Why has Türkiye’s opposition in Israel increased?
After Türkiye supported the people of Gaza and their strong criticism of Israel, the politicians published mutual critical statements, while statements were published in Israel at the level of the ministers and the Prime Minister targeting Erdogan and Turkey, and Türkiye received the same thing.
However, the real tension began after the overthrow of the Syrian president ousted Bashar Al -Assad on December 8, 2024, after it became clear that Turkey is the country behind the support of the Syrian opposition, Israel began various initiatives to prevent its influence.
Israel agreed with the United States not to organize the Kurdish People’s Protection Units. Israel tried to encourage Druze, Alawite and Kurdish minorities and put pressure on the government of Damascus.
Israel has directly bombed military assets in Syria and has carried out military operations directly against the possibility that Turkey establish military bases, building air defense systems and deepening its influence in Syria, and announced that these operations are a warning to Turkey, which means that Israel returned to a position in which Türkiye considers a threat of security.
2- How did Türkiye face the aggressive Israeli position?
Türkiye responded to aggressive and provocative Israeli positions at all levels. Efforts have been made to push Islamic countries to implement a ban and sanctions against Israel, but that has not been achieved.
Important security operations were carried out inside Türkiye against Israeli agents, and a large number of people have been arrested. Trade relations with Israel have been cut and all the goods and all exit were prohibited.
Türkiye has provided direct support to the new Syrian government to prevent internal disorders in Syria. The Turkish army began the construction of military bases within Syria and carried out joint actions on the ground with the Syrian army.
The national Turkish intelligence organization, in cooperation with the presidency of Syrian intelligence, began in the fields of logistical support, the exchange of information and training activities. Turkish businessmen have concluded an intensive activity to improve the Syrian economy.
In this regard, discussions with the United States continue to end the Israeli aggression.
3- Does Türkiye abandon the creation of military bases in Syria?
The cooperation which took place between Türkiye and the new Syrian government began to take an official nature after Hmed Al -hara officially took the position of head of state.
The defense cooperation agreement is the most important of these stages; Where military officials from the two countries organize continuous meetings in this regard.
Details are discussed such as the size of the Turkish military forces which will be stationed there, the places of deployment of air defense systems, the military base sites and the volume of military aid that will be provided.
Since Türkiye considers the Israeli occupation of the Syrian territories as a threat against him, he wants to stop Israel on the Syrian border. Consequently, his abandonment of these actions is not possible, especially after the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu does not receive the necessary support of Trump during his recent visit to the United States, these actions accelerate more and the military bases will be created.
4- Is Israel bombing the military bases that Türkiye will establish?
Israel is launching continuous attacks in order to undermine the military infrastructure of the Syrian government, which is in a weak position, but these attacks have never occurred in northern Syria where Turkish soldiers spread.
Although Israel says that he intervenes if Türkiye establishes military bases, it is not so easy, it is not possible for Israel to conclude a confrontation with Turkey with its military forces alone without the military force of the United States.
Türkiye will respond directly to any attack targeting its military origins. In addition, as it is a member of NATO (NATO), the Alliance can also become a part of this confrontation under article five.
Israel cannot risk grasping a hot confrontation with Türkiye despite NATO and the United States, but the two countries can enter a war of attrition by an indirect war; As Israel maintains its control of “PKK / People protection units” for this purpose for this purpose. For this reason, Türkiye insists that Kurdish people protection units will receive weapons.
5- What is the balance of military forces between Israel and Turkey?
The Turkish military force incomparably excels in its Israeli counterpart.
Türkiye is the second largest in NATO after the United States. Recently, Türkiye has become a world leader in the field of drowned aircraft bypass Israel.
In the defense industries, Türkiye meets 80% of his own needs, while Israel fully depends on the United States. In terms of human resources and economics also, Türkiye excels with a clear difference.
6- What will happen?
Israel wants to continue its attacks to destabilize Syria. As for Türkiye, as a strong ally, he will support the reconstruction and development of Syria. Consequently, the attraction between the two countries should continue on the Syrian scene at present.
It is not possible for Israel, which fights on 4 fronts, suffers from exhausting its human resources, and its economy narrows by 20%, and it is expected that the cost of its war will reach $ 400 billion, to continue in this situation for other years.
By looking at the deterioration of the world of economic sales, it seems difficult for the United States to continue to finance the War of Israel more.
And since Netanyahu is a politician who depends on the war, his fall in power will lead to the withdrawal of Israel from the areas of war and conflict.
Turkey, with its strongest economy, its devoid of terrorism and its stable structure, can resist this process for a longer period.
Israel is likely to have, with the influence of the United States, to stop attacking the independent Syrian state, while Türkiye will strengthen its presence in the future of Syria by establishing military bases.