Ottawa- 10 days after the presidency CanadaDeclared Mark Carney Organizing the first federal elections on April 28, in the middle of the popular alert to face the threats of the American president Donald Trump By imposing customs tasks on Canadian exports and waving the inclusion of the North neighbor to be part of WE.
Analysts believe that Carney’s motivations to announce the first elections are in particular: in particular:
- Trying to benefit from the remarkable resumption of the popularity of the Liberal Party, as polls in last week showed the Liberals of the Conservatives in the intentions of the vote.
- The Liberal Party is investigating the threats of the trade war launched by American president Donald Trump in a positive way in the mobilization of popular support of the ruling party and the supply of his candidate expert in the management of economic crises as the most worthy of Canadians and to help the country overcome its current stadium.
- The transition period from March to October is not sufficient to overcome current challenges. In this regard, Carney underlined the need to obtain a stronger authorization to face Trump. In addition, the new government was vulnerable to the withdrawal of confidence because it was a minority government.
Take the moment
The former correspondent for “Voice of America” in Canada, Hussein Nour Haji, says that the Liberals wanted to benefit from the progress they make in accordance with recent opinion polls, after their popularity has decreased in the last periods of rules Justin TrudeauIndicating that the secret of the announcement of the first elections is only a step to seize the current moment in anticipation of any development which could change the directions.
Haji explains, in an interview with Al -jazeera Net, that the governor of the province of Ontario Doug Ford – a curator – did the same when he announced the first elections in the province, then won a majority for the third consecutive time in late February.
This indicates that Ford himself benefited from the opinions of opinion polls which have shown his progress, despite the survival of more than a year on the scheduled date to hold the elections in the province.
Haji attributes the recovery of the popularity of the ruling party to questions, in particular the election of the new party leader, the current Prime Minister Mark Carne, and his “good reputation in the economy”, noting that Canada in the current stadium needs someone to repair their economy and develop it, in the light of Trump’s threats to impose customs tasks on Canadian imports.
He adds that the element of the economy will play a central role in determining the winner of the next elections, whether it is to deal with the trade war launched by President Trump, or to receive the local needs of the Canadian voter. Haji does not hide his expectations of the liberal victory on the basis of current data, indicating that the convergence of the results can lead to a victory of a parliamentary minority.
#urgent | AFP on the Prime Minister #Canada Mark Carney: Americans want our country and we cannot allow Trump to win pic.twitter.com/zzz52soje6
Al -jazeera Channel (@Ajarabic) March 9, 2025
Unexpected jump
Opinion polls have attended an unexpected jump since January 20, in collaboration with the inauguration of US President Donald Trump, the support of the conservatives increased because they obtained 44.8% in voting intentions compared to 21.9% for the Liberals, but the results began to change since Trudeau resigned, and showed competition in federated and in the country.
The latest data indicates that 37.5% of Canadians support the liberals, while 37.1% support the Conservatives, according to the CBC channel surveys.
In the same context, recent opinion polls – City News – paid that 50% of the Toronto population, the largest Canadian city, would like to vote for the Liberals, against 31% for governors, 14% for new Democrats, 3% for the Green Party and 1% for the People’s Party.
Experts believe that Toronto electoral districts will be decisive in any way for the victory for the Liberals and the Conservatives in the next elections.
Holiday breed
According to the electoral system in Canada, people vote for the parties, to take over the party candidate who won the most Prime Minister in the country. The total number of parliament seats reaches 343 seats, and the next electoral race should execute the following candidates:
- Mark Carney, 60 years old: The Prime Minister of Canada since March 13, which the Liberals have chosen by a majority over 85% of the votes to succeed Justin Trudeau in government, then rents his experience in economic crises.
During his campaign, he took a position as a challenge against US President Donald Trump, undertook to respond to his customs expenses and stressed that Canada would not become the 51st American state.
His criticisms see it as an extension of the rule of former Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, and that he is unable to speak French, the second official language of the country.
- Bayer Poorfer, 45, The candidate of the Conservative Party descends from the city of Calgary, the province of Alberta, the bastion of the conservatives. For the first time, he was elected to the House of Commons in 2005 at the age of 25, which made it one of the youngest deputies at the time.
In recent years, the poleifier has attacked the Liberals and Trudo, and considered them the reason for “the deterioration of the quality of life in Canada”, and he has always called for the need to cancel the carbon tax before Carney cancels it as soon as he was sworn in in the constitutional oath on March 13.
His opponents believe that it is not suitable for the country’s management in the current phase and that he has not presented a clear program to deal with the threats of US President Donald Trump.
- Yves François Blanche (60): Head of the Cuban Bloc. He has been in the leadership of the party since 2019. Trump threats against customs tasks, annexed the neighbor of the North and described his rhetoric as innocent.
It should be noted that the special status of the province of Quebec requires that the National Party only appoints the candidates of the French distribution province, and it is therefore unlikely that its leader will take control of the Prime Minister of Canada despite the important role of the party in the alliances when the government is formed in the event of a majority of government.
Opinion polls show that the Liberal Party is progressing on the Quebec Bloc.
- Jaghgham Singh, (46)He has been the leader of the New Democratic Party and has been in his direction since 2017 and is also a member of the House of Commons of the Burnabi district of South Burnabi in the province of British Columbia since 2019.
The New Democratic Party – A left that focuses on workers’ issues – Alliance with the Liberals in the second period of Trudeau’s reign after the latter won a minority government.
The followers mention the proposal of the “New Democratic Party” to stop the export of arms to Israel in March 2024 and the approval by the parliament of this proposal.
On the map of party alliances, observers expect the Liberal Party to allied in the event of non-majority with the “new democracy”, while the conservatives must organize the early elections after two years if they earn a minority government.