Analysts and political experts agreed that Israel sought to exploit the fragility of the Syrian situation to impose new facts on the ground, by frequent military strikes and a sectarian incentive aimed at dismanting the internal structure of the emerging state, stressing that such Aviv takes advantage of the Druze document as a unleashed card against the new authority.
They pointed out that the recent Israeli air strike is near the Syrian presidential palace, despite its coincidence with a local calm agreement, bearing regional dimensions that go beyond the borders of Syria, and also aims to thwart any Arab or Turkish report with Damascus at the post-war stadium.
Dr. Murad Aslan, professor of international policies at Hassan Calongo University, said that Turkey observes current developments in Syria, but he refuses to be trained in a direct confrontation with Israel, due to the threat of its strategic interests and the possibility of bombing the whole region.
In his speech on the program “Path of Events”, he explained that Ankara is dealing with the question of rationality and seeks to improve his role by supporting the new Syrian government with advice, training and indirect security cooperation, without getting involved in a confrontation that could face Washington or prevent its regional understanding.
Aslan considered that the transcendence of red lines by Israel, such as targeting directly from Turkish soldiers, could change the rules of the game, but current Turkish options are limited to political coordination and the stabilization of soft influence by security and economic understanding with Damascus.
He added that the Turkish government is expecting a clear agreement with the Syrian authority to extend its military intervention, stressing that Turkish measures are subject to specific accounts linked to overwhelming Kurdish and security files, as well as to monitor the position of the United States on the Syrian file.
A deliberate plan
In the same context, Dr. Kamal Abdo, dean of the Faculty of Political Science of the Northern Syrian University, said that Israel implements a deliberate plan based on the stripping of southern Syria in arms, and in fact in fact transformation into a buffer area subject to its security and its military domination.
Abdo said that Aviv does not seek a direct geographic annexation, but rather to impose a sort of security guardianship at the governing points near the Golan, as he does in southern Lebanon and the Gaza Strip, taking advantage of Syrian internal conflicts and weak Arab coordination to confront them.
He considered that such Aviv will accept any Damascus regime which has engaged in its conditions, but if he fails to push Damascus towards a satisfactory understanding, he is ready to stabilize a reality of partial occupation, justifying it by the pretext of protecting minorities and securing the borders of the North.
He stressed that Israel tried to use divisions within the Druze component in order to create an environment which legislates its military and political intervention, taking advantage of the incompatibility between religious and military leaders within the mountain and the absence of a unified vision of their position on the Syrian state.
A comfortable enemy
According to Dr. Muhannad Mustafa, a academic specializing in Israeli affairs, Israel used to treat the Bashar Al -Assad regime as a “comfortable enemy”, while considering the new political authority in Damascus with suspicion and with regard to an unpredictable threat.
He explained that such Aviv sees in the silence of the new Syrian direction towards the attacks a danger that goes beyond hostile declarations, since the ambiguity of his positions can hide an unexpected strategic change, which leads Israel to pursue pre-powerful strikes.
He stressed that the new authority is still in the Israeli evaluation phase, but hitting the vicinity of the presidential palace came as a warning message that Israel is able to change the equation when it wishes, in particular after the collapse of traditional dissuasive systems in the region.
He added that Druze paper is not used only to put pressure on Damascus, but also to contain internal agitation in Israel, especially after young Druze threatened to stop recruitment if the Benjamin Netanyahu government continues to ignore what they describe as a “persecution” of the sect in Syria.
Mustafa has excluded that Israel would currently be in the process of carrying out a great military operation, stressing that he does not have the capacity to open several fronts, and that his strikes carry more propaganda and security character than to be a real invasion.
Dismondness of the area
For his part, Dr. Mehqa Makki, a researcher at Al -jazeera Center for Studies, stressed that Israel sought to dismantle the region of Syria, taking advantage of the societal division and the weakness of public institutions and trying to anticipate any national complete recovery project.
Makki considered that such Aviv is preparing the field for strategic variables which can precede a complete Iranian confrontation or a new explosion in Gaza, noting that Israel is no longer counting on agreements as much as it bets on the crushing of opponents and permanently weaken them.
He warned that the continuation of Israeli absurdity in the Druze file could make it a time bomb, due to its geographical position near the capital and its political interventions, stressing that Israel could use this document wrongly feed internal conflicts instead of containing it.
Makki underlined the need for a joint Arab movement which guarantees the lifting of American sanctions towards Syria, and pushes to protect its unity and its stability, stressing that the whole region is vulnerable to collapse if the Israeli aggression is not contained and its repercussions.
He said that Syria no longer had the ability to deal with these challenges, and that the Turkish and Arab role is the true guarantor of state unity, and the last barrier in front of the plan to break the Middle East through the Syrian door.