4/4/2025
Experts and analysts have agreed that current negotiations to end the war in the Gaza Strip have reached a decisive turn in the light of the statements of US President Donald Trump, closely reaching a complete agreement, in the midst of a variation in views of his details and his successful opportunities.
The writer and political analyst, Ahmed Al -Haila, stressed that the American position witnessed a clear change towards the war in Gaza, explaining that Trump had a clear position during the recent visit of the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Washington, where he underlined the need to find a rapid solution and a cease cease ceasefire in the Gaza band.
Al -haila added in her interview with the “Behind Events” program that Netanyahu returned to a weak Washington, and that it was the American pressure that seriously paid negotiations.
In turn, the chief researcher of the American Foreign Policy Council, James Robbins, believes that the American administration has maintained the confidentiality of negotiations until it is ready.
He explained that the complete agreement includes the release of all hostages, the end of combat operations and a plan on the future of the Gaza Strip, and that does not include the continuation of the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) in its political direction in the sector, but rather another political leadership.
Hamas determinants
On the other hand, the trick stressed that the movement of Hamas has unlimited determinants, the most important of which is the withdrawal of the Israeli occupation of the Gaza Strip and a lasting cease-fire, adding that “pus” with a vocabulary such as the disarmament of Hamas or its exit from the band does not help in the political process.
In the context, the author of Israeli affairs, Ihab Jabareen, believes that the global agreement has political repercussions and political prices in Israel, and it is not clear if Netanyahu is ready to pay these prices under the current intense stage.
And on the American reasons behind the growing pressure on Israel, Al -Ha said that Washington thinks that Netanyahu has almost dragged her to the Middle East marshes in the Awaisah files.
He asked, how can Trump come after weeks to Riyadh to talk about normalization, economic projects and peace in the Middle East, and Netanyahu continues to kill the Palestinians, the Syrians and the Lebanese?
Al -Haila added that Trump was decisive during his recent meeting with Netanyahu, when he told her that Turkey was a red line, and the problems had to be resolved with it rationally, because he told him that he was going to negotiate with Iran, which was a shock for Netanyahu, who preferred the option of war and bombardment.
Jabareen explained that the one who directs the negotiation scene in Israel is individually Netanyahu because he was able to surround the betting bet of negotiations, the voice of the families of prisoners and the army opponents.
Prisoner paper
He added that Netanyahu realizes that the prisoner newspaper is the only article in the hands of Hamas, in which you can practice a kind of pressure, and therefore he seeks to get rid of other objectives.
Jabareen stressed that any flexibility or concession in the questions of withdrawal, security control or the presence of Hamas the next day, are all things that can confuse the political scene of Netanyahu and the disintegration of his Israeli government.
Robbins presented the point of view that it is very difficult to have Hamas, all the guarantees, because it is the part that sparked the war and held the prisoners, and its survival is linked to maintaining them.
He added that Hamas should show goodwill in the United States and accelerate the release of prisoners.
On the other hand, the trick said that the Israeli party is that which is intransigent and rejected, because Hamas is committed to the basic agreement, but Netanyahu was the one who refused to start the negotiations on the 16 day of the implementation of the agreement and refused to go to the second stage.
He added that the American administration is its weight, and as a main element capable of obliging Netanyahu, it must give the guarantee.
The political future
Regarding the political future of Gaza, Robins believes that when we speak of Palestinians, we must distinguish between their different divisions, there is Hamas and there is Palestinian authority and other groups.
He added that Hamas has no future in the Gaza Strip rule in accordance with the American and Israeli vision, and it is therefore difficult to negotiate with the party of its survival linked to hostages.
Ahmed Al -Hailah replied that a year ago, Hamas agreed with Egypt that it would not be on the Palestinian political scene and that it wanted to establish a technocratic authority under the supervision of the Palestinian national authority, which Netanyahu does not recognize and does not refuse to manage.
Jabareen explained that the doctrine of Netanyahu and his perception of the way of putting an end to his political life revolves around Israel’s control over the “Wall of Iron”, where he wants to put Israel back in the next step in the framework that his borders are solid and solid, which can be carried out in isolated Gaza and by practicing security control.
On the chances of success of the negotiations, the trick said that we must be careful with regard to American and Israeli statements, because there is optimism, but this is very careful because of experience with Netanyahu and the fluctuation in the American position.