Earlier last week, the administration of US President Donald Trump announced the taxation of customs duties of 25% on imports from Mexico, but it quickly withdrew the decision.
On March 6, Trump announced the exclusion of all the products that come from the trade agreement between the United States, Mexico and Canada (USMCA) for a month.
Meanwhile, the American Ministry of Defense continued its military strengthening on the southern border, where it deployed 3,000 more soldiers.
Trump’s real climbing goals against Mexico
Trump claims that these measures are necessary to stop the flow of fennel and irregular migrants through the border with Mexico. However, the data shows a significant decrease in the number of deaths due to fennel in the past year, and the number of cross -transits has decreased.
So what is the real motivation behind these movements?
- First, Trump seeks to distract him from internal economic chaos he causes. Despite its promises to “reform” the American economy, the inflation rate has increased to 3%, consumer confidence has remained destroyed and fuel prices have continued to increase, while thousands of federal employees have been demobilized.
- Second, and above all, Trump tries to rekindle the “principle of Monroe” in a new style, where he puts pressure on Mexico, and through the rest of the countries of Latin America, to impose his hegemony by using the “diplomacy of warships”, without fear of any reaction of counter-reaction.
Dangerous indicators on a possible military escalation
Several evidence indicates an American strategic and military escalation against Mexico, in particular:
- Name the Gulf of Mexico as “the Gulf of America”. The classification of eight Mexican caricatures as “terrorist organizations”.
- Intensification of CIA secret drones operations in Mexican territories.
- A US forces combat brigade deployed on the border.
- The United States Minister of Defense, Beit Higseth, said that “all the options are on authority”.
The climbing of these stages and hostilities opens the way to American military intervention in Mexico, which will be an extension of a long record of the American attack against its neighbor in the South and Latin America as a whole, a record which dates back to the principle of Monroe announced by President James Monroe in 1823.
The return of “The principle of Monroe”
In 1823, President Monroe presented a principle that seemed to resist European colonialism in the Western hemisphere, but in reality, he aimed to consolidate American hegemony on the region.
This principle was at the base that the United States relied on the widening of its influence to the detriment of the Mexican territory during the American-Mexican war (1846-1848), while it seized large regions which are today part of the states of California, Nevada, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico, Oklahoma, Colorado and Wiwang.
Why does Mexico now?
Mexico occupies an important strategic location because it shares limits of 3,000 km with the United States, and it is the second largest economy in Latin America, with a gross domestic product of $ 1.79 Billion of dollars.
Although its solid economy is linked to the United States, Mexico has expanded its commercial relations and China has become its second largest trading partner with an exchange size of $ 100 billion.
In 2024, direct foreign Chinese investments in Mexico amounted to $ 477 million, an increase of only $ 13.6 million in 2008.
Speculations were also raised in 2023 on the desire of Mexico to join the Brics group led by China, despite the denial of the Mexican president of the time, Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, these allegations.
However, the Brazilian president Lula da Silva called Mexico, Uruguay and Colombia this year to attend the BRICS in Rio de Janeiro.
President of New Mexico in front of a difficult test
Mexico to the main left Claudia Shinabom Prado is now powerful and has a clear vision that has its counterparts. It is very popular, with its 80%support rate, and has repeatedly confirmed that it would defend the sovereignty of Mexico.
In an attempt to show goodwill and cooperation, his government has taken solid measures against drug trafficking, putting 29 kartitat leaders in the United States and announced a record number of arrests, exports to fentianil and illegal drugs in the last month.
But the truth is that Trump does not care to resolve the crisis of smuggling and drug immigration that the United States has created following drug addiction and its efforts for inexpensive workforce, but rather want to use military reinforcements on the border to terrorize the Mexican president, and reduce the growing Chinese influence in Mexico.
Will Mexico be subject to Trump’s threats?
The question remains: will Shinbaum be under American pressure, or the policy of defense of the independence of Mexico? Meanwhile, Trump continues to exploit the pretext of the war against drugs and immigration to relaunch the “principle of Monroe” and impose a new American hegemony in Mexico and Latin America, threatening to return the continent 200 years ago.
The opinions of the article do not necessarily reflect the editorial position of Al-Jazeera.