Political experts and analysts believe that the next series of negotiations in Doha, under the auspices of the United States, can face obstacles due to the positions of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who seeks to prolong the war and avoid the political advantages of the cease-fire agreement in the Gaza Strip.
The attention is addressed to the Qatari capital, while the envoy of the American president to the Middle East, Steve Witkeov, should reach a test to push the negotiations between Israel and the Islamic resistance movement (Hamas) towards a new agreement.
Despite the prudent optimism with which US officials are shown, obstacles are still in place, in particular in the light of the variation in positions between the administration of the American president Donald Trump and Tel Aviv.
The writer and political analyst Ahmed Al -haila believes that Hamas adheres to the essence of the previous cease agreement and the withdrawal of the Israeli army from the Gaza Strip, in addition to the introduction of aid and reconstruction, indicating that these elements represent red lines which cannot be exceeded.
Al -Haila added in her interview with the “Path of Events” program according to which the American movements could lead to a complete agreement which includes the exchange of prisoners, but he stressed that the main obstacle is Netanyahu, which refuses to make real concessions.
Direct negotiation
For his part, Tim Constantin, deputy editor -in -chief – Chief of Washington Times, said that the United States was aware of the need for direct negotiation with all parties – including Hamas – despite Israeli reserves.
Konstantin pointed out that the postponement of a visit to Doha Whitts was linked to American concerns concerning the severity of Hamas positions, but he returned to confirm that the bypass of this obstacle indicates possible progress in the negotiation path.
As for Israeli academics and experts, Muhannad Mustafa, he indicated that the Israeli government expresses its embarrassment with the current negotiation route, in particular with the supply of a long -term truce, which contradicts the Israeli vision based on military and continuous political pressure on Gaza.
Mustafa added that sending a low -level Israeli delegation to Doha reflects the lack of gravity of such Aviv to achieve a complete agreement, noting that Israel is betting on the reduction or modification of the American track in its favor.
In a related context, Israeli media reports have confirmed that the Netanyahu government is considering climbing options that include the launch of air attacks and the evacuation of the Northern Gaza Strip, which reflects a strategy aimed at maintaining the situation in difficulty and to postpone any political solutions.
The Israeli Broadcasting Corporation said that the Minister of Finance in Salail Smotrich – who will soon go to Washington – pushes a plan to move the population of Gaza, which adds new complications to the scene.
The trick believes that the most realistic American option is to continue a complete “everyone against everyone” agreement, which can be accepted by Hamas and the American administration, as well as to support the Qatar and Egyptian brokers.
But he stressed that the greatest challenge lies in the position of Netanyahu, who is afraid that the end of the war will lead to the collapse of his government coalition.
American interests
On the other hand, Constantin considered that American policy does not completely identify with Israeli interests, stressing that the Donald Trump administration is looking for a long-term ceasefire to serve its regional interests, but he stressed that Washington will continue to put pressure on Hamas to abandon its weapon within the framework of any future establishment.
In this context, Mustafa notes that Israel realizes that any agreement which includes an exchange of prisoners will mean the release of hundreds of Palestinians, which such Aviv tries to avoid without obtaining clear political gains.
He explained that Netanyahu prefers to prolong the first stage of the agreement instead of entering a long truce, noting that the division within the Israeli government on how to manage the crisis can hinder American efforts.
In this context, the Israeli media have cited such Aviv officials that American contacts with Hamas will strengthen the legitimacy of the international movement, which raises the concern of Netanyahu and the allies on the right, adding that Israel seeks to disrupt any path that could give a new political influence to Hamas.
Despite the complications, the trick considers that the American administration could put pressure on Israel to accept a progressive colony before President Trump’s next visit to Saudi Arabia, which exerts additional pressure on Washington to calm tensions in the region, which could lead him to take a more decisive position towards Netanyahu’s intransigence.